2018 Real Estate Market Predictions
The real estate market overall is expected to grow in 2018, according
to most experts in the field. This is great news for investors, but first-time
homebuyers may be looking at a slightly more difficult year. Here are some
predictions for the real estate market in the coming year.
Inventory Shortages Continue to
Drive the Market
Inventory shortages continue to be the main factor in home prices again
in 2018. Housing starts are still low, and Svenja Gudell, Zillow chief
economist, says that nationwide there are 12% fewer homes to choose from now
than a year ago. Most of these properties for sale are in the highest home
value bracket and well out of the price range of most first-time home buyers.
This means those looking to buy a home for the first time will continue to
struggle to find affordable housing for most of the year.
Demand Remains Flat
One factor keeping home builders from committing to a lot of new home
starts is the mostly flat demand. One of the biggest factors in home demand is
population growth. In the United States, population growth has remained low
over the last few years with a growth of only 0.7% last year – the lowest since
1937. So long as demand remains on the low side, builders will likely not surge
to build a large number of new homes.
However, Metro Nashville is an area still experiencing high growth from
new people moving into town. As a result, our local area will continue to have
new home developments, though these may also slow some from past years.
Builders Focus on Entry-Level
Homes
While for several years now home builders have focused on the higher
value homes, the tide may finally turn this year. The demand in the market for
homes is largely in the entry-level segment at this time, and builders may move
to capitalize on the market. So far, the number of new homes built for the past
several years has remained well below historical norms, but the entry-level
demand may finally shift this trend in favor of first-time homebuyers.
Unfortunately, the low-cost trend may mean a greater shift toward more
affordable suburban areas. Land and construction costs are prohibitive in
cities for entry-level homes. Expect to see a move toward the suburbs in the
coming year.
Remodeling Fever Continues to
Burn
One factor in keeping inventory for homes low has been the recent surge
in remodeling current homes by homeowners rather than buying a new home. Expect
to see this continue in 2018, especially with the popularity of home remodeling
shows on television giving homeowners more ideas for remaking their own homes
rather than selling them to look for others. Overall, this keeps home
inventories down and continues the drive toward higher home values across the
market.
The real estate market for 2018 continues to promise to be a great
market for sellers, but those just starting to look for their first home will
likely continue to struggle.